Will the Miami Dolphins Sign Tua Tagovailoa to a Lucrative Long-Term Contract?

The Miami Dolphins and their quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa, are both eager to finalize a long-term contract extension as quickly as possible this offseason. This urgency stems from a mutual desire to prevent the negotiations from dragging on into training camp, which could potentially become a distracting issue. Tagovailoa, who has demonstrated notable prowess on the field, is in a pivotal moment of his career regarding his contract with the Dolphins.

The Heart of the Matter
Tagovailoa is poised to earn $23.2 million in 2024 while on the fifth-year option of his rookie contract. This critical juncture comes as he has played well enough to command a salary that numbers him among the NFL’s elite earners. However, questions about his consistency, particularly against formidable opponents, complicate the decision. Last season, he threw for 4,624 yards and 29 touchdowns but also had 14 interceptions and showed difficulties in high-stakes matches.

Contract Complications
The conundrum for the Dolphins lies not in acknowledging Tagovailoa’s talent but in determining his value compared to the league’s premier quarterbacks. His performance has displayed brilliance but also inconsistency, notably in key games that have defined the Dolphins’ season. Tagovailoa struggled significantly against tough competition, as evident in games against playoff teams where the Dolphins had a disappointing 1-5 record. These struggles have fueled debates about his long-term role and value to the team.

Strategic Decisions Ahead
As contract talks proceed, the potential of a deal that positions Tagovailoa among the highest-paid quarterbacks in the league, with a salary of about $55 million per season, looms large. This scenario places Miami in a difficult spot, making it worth considering whether they should allow the season to unfold further before committing to such a substantial contract. Utilizing the franchise tag in 2025 could provide the Dolphins with more time to evaluate Tagovailoa’s impact in crucial games and his overall ability to lead the team to its ultimate goal – a Super Bowl victory.

The Likely Outcome
Despite the complexities, the current market demand for proficient quarterbacks and Tagovailoa’s demonstrated skill set suggest that the Dolphins are inclined to secure a deal this offseason. The overriding sentiment is that letting Tagovailoa reach free agency would lead to a bidding war that Miami may prefer to avoid. The decision to extend his contract comes with its risks, but the pressures of the league and the high demand for quarterbacks of Tagovailoa’s caliber tilt the scales in favor of a resolution sooner rather than later.