Week 5 Predictions and Picks ATS

Top 25

(25) Fresno State 38 Nevada 17

(23) Missouri 31 Vanderbilt 20

• Missouri has been impressive this season and I don’t see them slowing down vs the Commodores, the tigers improve to 5-0.

Kentucky 24 (22) Florida 20

• Something I love is an unranked team who’s the favorite over the ranked team. We have that here with Kentucky as a 2.5 point favorite over ranked Florida. The Wildcats have won the last two years and three of the last five so this SEC East matchup hasn’t been a gimme for the gators like it was from 1987-2017. Florida had a big win vs Tennessee where I actually picked them to win but I have to roll with the Wildcats here as I believe they can cause some issues for Graham Mertz and on offense I trust Devin Leary more. 

(21) Tennessee 34 South Carolina 20

• The Vols have a defense that can create pressure and that should cause concerns for the Gamecocks OL. I will say Spencer Rattler has been playing his ass off and WR Xavier Legette as well but overall I believe the Vols have a better team and cover the 12 point spread.

(20) Ole Miss 35 (13) LSU 31

• Lane Kiffin and Ole Miss need this win and my formula loves the Rebels in this matchup. If Ole Miss wins they’ll need a BIG game from Jaxson Dart and create some turnovers from LSU QB Jayden Daniels. 

(19) Oregon State 23 (10) Utah 17

• This could be one of the best games of the week and it’s on Friday Night. Utah is Undefeated and they’ve done it without star QB Cam Rising and TE Brant Kuithe. If Cam Rising is out again I don’t think the Utes can take advantage of a weak beavers secondary. The public watched Oregon State lose to WSU last week and the Utes win vs UCLA and I’m betting a lot of bets come in on Utah +2.5, give me Oregon State to win and cover.

(14) Oklahoma 35 Iowa State 10

(12) Alabama 28 Mississippi State 17

(11) Notre Dame 31 (17) Duke 24

• Coach Elko has done a phenomenal job at Duke and this team plays with Discipline and toughness. The Blue Devils week 1 win vs Clemson was super impressive and QB Riley Leonard is the real deal. With all of that being said, Notre Dame is the more talented team overall and I’m banking on Sam Hartman to get them the victory. 

(9) Oregon 49 Stanford 15

(8) USC 45 Colorado 27

• Colorado was overwhelmed and embarrassed last week vs Oregon and I expect them to come out with an inspired effort vs USC. The Trojans have a much better overall team but sometimes they play down to their competition like last week vs a bad ASU team. I expect USC to win but Colorado will cover the 22 point spread. 

(7) Washington 42 Arizona 24

(6) Penn State 38 Northwestern 7

(3) Texas 38 (24) Kansas 24

• The Longhorns have had trouble with the Jayhawks the last few years but I believe Texas wants to prove to everyone they’re the best team in the Big 12 and capable of reaching the playoffs. Jalon Daniels and KU will keep it closer than the 17 point spread but Texas wins.

(2) Michigan 27 Nebraska 13

• Nebraska is a 18.5 point underdog and most people will take Michigan to win in a blowout but my formula says this spread should be 14.5 (4 point difference). If Jeff Sims starts at QB and turns the ball over this game could get out of hand but I like Nebraska to cover. 

(1) Georgia 28 Auburn 14

• It’s never easy going into Jordan-Hare stadium but the Tigers don’t have the offense to win this game. I believe Auburn can keep this game close but Georgia wins by two TDs. 


Louisville 28 NC State 27

UTEP 27 Louisiana Tech 24

Cincinnati 24 BYU 20

Top Unranked Games

Clemson 31 Syracuse 20

South Alabama 24 JMU 21

Purdue 31 Illinois 20

Troy 28 Georgia State 27

TCU 28 West Virginia 14

Remaining Games 

Buffalo 28 Akron 24

Minnesota 24 Louisiana 10

Texas A&M 31 Arkansas 21

Tulane 41 UAB 17

Utah State 28 UConn 17

CMU 27 EMU 24

UVA 31 Boston College 28

Miami (OH) 34 Kent State 17

California 28 Arizona State 21

Arkansas State 32 UMass 28

WMU 30 Ball State 23

UCF 31 Baylor 17

Georgia Tech 42 Bowling Green 14

Texas Tech 34 Houston 23

Maryland 31 Indiana 21

Toledo 28 NIU 17

Marshall 34 ODU 14

Navy 31 USF 28

Rutgers 38 Wagner 6

Memphis 27 Boise State 24

UNLV 37 Hawaii 27

Wyoming 24 New Mexico 16

North Texas 45 ACU 24

Georgia Southern 34 Coastal Carolina 31

ECU 26 Rice 24

Southern Miss 42 Texas State 38

Colorado State 52 Utah Tech 14

SMU 45 Charlotte 17

Michigan State 20 Iowa 17

Appalachian State 35 ULM 17

Air Force 27 SDSU 14

Week 5 Picks ATS

Oregon State -2.5
Kentucky -1.5
Auburn +15
Clemson -6
Ole Miss +3
Purdue -1
Troy +2
Michigan State +12.5