The 128 Team Playoff, Day 57: Liberty vs. California

by | Mar 28, 2022 | California, Football, Independents, Liberty, Pac-12

Photo courtesy of Liberty athletics

Introduction

We’ve created a 130-team bracket using ESPN’s FPI as our ranking system.

“But, anyone can create a bracket, how will the games be simulated?” Great question; NCAA Game Sim was used.

For each game on the bracket, the matchup was simulated once and every day a write-up will be done.

For the matchup, player statistics will be simulated and included in the write-ups.

Finally, thanks to the NCAA Game Sim premium membership, we’ll show the results of doing 100 simulations all at once. This is to see if a given result was more towards the expected side or if a given result was more towards the upset or luckier side.

All of the results have been simulated and tabulated, so at the time of writing the introduction, the results are already in.

This is designed to be fun, so please enjoy.

From Georgia to Massachusetts, here’s the 130-team bracket:

Match 58

(7) Liberty vs. (10) California

We know the results to every matchup. ESPN’s Football Power Index and ncaagamesim.com’s opinion on this matchup was the most diametrically opposed of any matchup.

Liberty quarterback Malik Willis struggled. He was 14-for-26 with 169 yards, a touchdown, and an interception.

Running back Shedro Louis was decent in bursts, tallying 61 rushing yards on seven attempts.

Contrasting that to California’s offensive output, the result makes sense.

California quarterback Chase Garbers was 24-for-41 with 381 yards and three touchdowns.

Also, Garbers was tied for the lead in rushing yards for California, with 49.

Running back Marcel Dancy added 49 yards of his own and a touchdown.

Despite being the lower ranked team, California blew Liberty out of the water. California wins, 37-10.

In 100 simulations, the lower-ranked Golden Bears won an astonishing 89 matchups by an average margin of 32.5-15.1.

Winner’s Next Matchup: (2) Iowa State

Tomorrow’s Matchup: (8) UTSA vs. (9) San Diego State

Updated Bracket

Teams Lost, In Order:

PLAY-IN

Massachusetts, Connecticut

ROUND 1

Akron, New Mexico State, Florida International, Temple, New Mexico, Bowling Green, Rice, Vanderbilt, Louisiana-Monroe, Texas State, Arkansas State, Charlotte, Southern Mississippi, Ohio, Kansas, Duke, UNLV, Georgia Southern, UTEP, South Alabama, San Jose State, South Florida, Arizona, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech, Ball State, Minnesota, Navy, Nebraska, Buffalo, Troy, Colorado State, North Texas, Eastern Michigan, Northwestern, Northern Illinois, Florida Atlantic, Stanford, Tulane, Colorado, Wyoming, Middle Tennessee, Rutgers, Miami University, Indiana, Louisville, Georgia Tech, East Carolina, West Virginia, Central Michigan, Missouri, Syracuse, Tulsa, Western Michigan, Utah State, Liberty

REMAINING TEAMS BY CONFERENCE:

American: 5/11 (highest remaining: 2. Cincinnati)

ACC: 10/14 (highest remaining: 1. Clemson)

Big 12: 8/10 (highest remaining: 1. Oklahoma, 1. Oklahoma State)

Big Ten: 9/14 (highest remaining: 1. Ohio State, 1. Michigan)

Conference USA: 4/14 (highest remaining: 6. Western Kentucky)

Independents: 3/7 (highest remaining: 1. Notre Dame)

MAC: 2/12 (highest remaining: 9. Toledo)

Mountain West: 5/12 (highest remaining: 5. Boise State)

Pac-12: 9/12 (highest remaining: 2. Utah)

SEC: 12/14 (highest remaining: 1. Georgia, 1. Alabama)

Sun Belt: 5/10 (highest remaining: 5. Appalachian State)

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