The 128 Team Playoff, Day 54: Fresno State vs. Tulsa

by | Mar 25, 2022 | Football, Fresno State, G5, MW, The American, Tulsa

Photo courtesy of Fresno State athletics

Introduction

We’ve created a 130-team bracket using ESPN’s FPI as our ranking system.

“But, anyone can create a bracket, how will the games be simulated?” Great question; NCAA Game Sim was used.

For each game on the bracket, the matchup was simulated once and every day a write-up will be done.

For the matchup, player statistics will be simulated and included in the write-ups.

Finally, thanks to the NCAA Game Sim premium membership, we’ll show the results of doing 100 simulations all at once. This is to see if a given result was more towards the expected side or if a given result was more towards the upset or luckier side.

All of the results have been simulated and tabulated, so at the time of writing the introduction, the results are already in.

This is designed to be fun, so please enjoy.

From Georgia to Massachusetts, here’s the 130-team bracket:

Match 55

(7) Fresno State vs. (10) Tulsa

Tulsa was a team that just could not get out if its own way in this one.

Tulsa quarterback Davis Brin was 17-for-32 with 183 yards, a touchdown, and three massive interceptions.

All three interceptions came in the red zone. That means that 21 points were potentially wiped off the board by Brin’s interceptions.

Running back Shamari Brooks had an OK game, with 85 yards on 19 carries.

Fresno State’s quarterback, Jake Haener, did not put the ball in nearly as much danger. He finished 24-for-42 with 284 yards and two touchdowns.

Turning the ball over in the red zone is no recipe for success. Fresno State wins, 27-13.

After 100 simulations, Fresno State and Tulsa each won 50. Fresno State had a slight edge on the scoring margin at 27.5-26.5.

Winner’s Next Matchup: (2) Pittsburgh

Tomorrow’s Matchup: (7) Washington State vs. (10) Western Michigan

Updated Bracket

Teams Lost, In Order:

PLAY-IN

Massachusetts, Connecticut

ROUND 1

Akron, New Mexico State, Florida International, Temple, New Mexico, Bowling Green, Rice, Vanderbilt, Louisiana-Monroe, Texas State, Arkansas State, Charlotte, Southern Mississippi, Ohio, Kansas, Duke, UNLV, Georgia Southern, UTEP, South Alabama, San Jose State, South Florida, Arizona, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech, Ball State, Minnesota, Navy, Nebraska, Buffalo, Troy, Colorado State, North Texas, Eastern Michigan, Northwestern, Northern Illinois, Florida Atlantic, Stanford, Tulane, Colorado, Wyoming, Middle Tennessee, Rutgers, Miami University, Indiana, Louisville, Georgia Tech, East Carolina, West Virginia, Central Michigan, Missouri, Syracuse, Tulsa

REMAINING TEAMS BY CONFERENCE:

American: 5/11 (highest remaining: 2. Cincinnati)

ACC: 10/14 (highest remaining: 1. Clemson)

Big 12: 8/10 (highest remaining: 1. Oklahoma, 1. Oklahoma State)

Big Ten: 9/14 (highest remaining: 1. Ohio State, 1. Michigan)

Conference USA: 4/14 (highest remaining: 6. Western Kentucky)

Independents: 4/7 (highest remaining: 1. Notre Dame)

MAC: 4/12 (highest remaining: 9. Toledo)

Mountain West: 6/12 (highest remaining: 5. Boise State)

Pac-12: 9/12 (highest remaining: 2. Utah)

SEC: 12/14 (highest remaining: 1. Georgia, 1. Alabama)

Sun Belt: 5/10 (highest remaining: 5. Appalachian State)

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