The 128 Team Playoff, Day 43: LSU vs. Middle Tennessee

by | Mar 14, 2022 | C-USA, Football, G5, LSU, Middle Tennessee, SEC

Photo courtesy of LSU athletics

Introduction

We’ve created a 130-team bracket using ESPN’s FPI as our ranking system.

“But, anyone can create a bracket, how will the games be simulated?” Great question; NCAA Game Sim was used.

For each game on the bracket, the matchup was simulated once and every day a write-up will be done.

For the matchup, player statistics will be simulated and included in the write-ups.

Finally, thanks to the NCAA Game Sim premium membership, we’ll show the results of doing 100 simulations all at once. This is to see if a given result was more towards the expected side or if a given result was more towards the upset or luckier side.

All of the results have been simulated and tabulated, so at the time of writing the introduction, the results are already in.

This is designed to be fun, so please enjoy.

From Georgia to Massachusetts, here’s the 130-team bracket:

Match 44

(6) LSU vs. (11) Middle Tennessee

In this one, the difference was quarterback play.

Middle Tennessee quarterback Chase Cunningham only had a completion percentage of 58%. LSU quarterback Max Johnson had a completion rate of 75%.

Johnson threw for almost 200 more yards, throwing for 423 compared to Cunningham’s 240.

At the end of the day, the team that scores more wins. Johnson had four passing touchdowns. Cunningham had just one.

Also impressive in this one was new Nebraska transfer Trey Palmer.

Palmer had seven receptions, 127 receiving yards, and a touchdown for LSU.

Middle Tennessee couldn’t stop Johnson and LSU. The Tigers win, 48-20.

In 100 simulations, LSU won 89 of them by an average margin of 32.3-13.2.

Winner’s Next Matchup: (3) Miami

Tomorrow’s Matchup: (6) North Carolina vs. (11) Rutgers

Updated Bracket

Teams Lost, In Order:

PLAY-IN

Massachusetts, Connecticut

ROUND 1

Akron, New Mexico State, Florida International, Temple, New Mexico, Bowling Green, Rice, Vanderbilt, Louisiana-Monroe, Texas State, Arkansas State, Charlotte, Southern Mississippi, Ohio, Kansas, Duke, UNLV, Georgia Southern, UTEP, South Alabama, San Jose State, South Florida, Arizona, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech, Ball State, Minnesota, Navy, Nebraska, Buffalo, Troy, Colorado State, North Texas, Eastern Michigan, Northwestern, Northern Illinois, Florida Atlantic, Stanford, Tulane, Colorado, Wyoming, Middle Tennessee

REMAINING TEAMS BY CONFERENCE:

American: 7/11 (highest remaining: 2. Cincinnati)

ACC: 13/14 (highest remaining: 1. Clemson)

Big 12: 9/10 (highest remaining: 1. Oklahoma, 1. Oklahoma State)

Big Ten: 11/14 (highest remaining: 1. Ohio State, 1. Michigan)

Conference USA: 4/14 (highest remaining: 6. Western Kentucky)

Independents: 4/7 (highest remaining: 1. Notre Dame)

MAC: 6/12 (highest remaining: 9. Toledo)

Mountain West: 6/12 (highest remaining: 5. Boise State)

Pac-12: 9/12 (highest remaining: 2. Utah)

SEC: 13/14 (highest remaining: 1. Georgia, 1. Alabama)

Sun Belt: 5/10 (highest remaining: 5. Appalachian State)

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