Photo courtesy of Boise State athletics
We’ve created a 130-team bracket using ESPN’s FPI as our ranking system.
“But, anyone can create a bracket, how will the games be simulated?” Great question; NCAA Game Sim was used.
For each game on the bracket, the matchup was simulated once and every day a write-up will be done.
For the matchup, player statistics will be simulated and included in the write-ups.
Finally, thanks to the NCAA Game Sim premium membership, we’ll show the results of doing 100 simulations all at once. This is to see if a given result was more towards the expected side or if a given result was more towards the upset or luckier side.
All of the results have been simulated and tabulated, so at the time of writing the introduction, the results are already in.
This is designed to be fun, so please enjoy.
From Georgia to Massachusetts, here’s the 130-team bracket:
(5) Boise State vs. (12) Stanford
Stanford’s offense was simply too vanilla in this one.
Quarterback Tanner McKee struggled to move the ball with consistency. He was 13-for-26 passing with 198 yards.
Running back Nathaniel Peat led the Cardinal in rushing — with 59 yards and a touchdown on eight carries.
But over the halftime break, the Broncos figured Peat out.
Peat’s first half stat line? Four carries for 42 yards and a touchdown.
Peat’s second half stat line? Four carries for 17 yards.
Boise State, on the other hand, never went three-and-out and was able to maintain consistent drives throughout.
A large reason for that was running back George Holani, who provided 102 rushing yards — primarily on early downs. Those 102 yards came on 6.8 yards per carry.
Quarterback Hank Bachmeier was 24-for-37 with 268 yards and three touchdowns. Bachmeier never had more than two consecutive incompletions.
Bachmeier’s consistent target in this game was Khalil Shakir. The game’s leading receiver tallied six receptions, 66 receiving yards, and two receiving touchdowns. All six of his receptions came on third down.
Boise State was able to out-fundamental Stanford’s fundamental offense. The Broncos win, 30-14.
Despite Boise’s clear superiority in the single simulation, the Broncos only won 58 of our 100 simulations by an average margin of 22-20.8.
Winner’s Next Matchup: (13) Hawaii
Tomorrow’s Matchup: (5) Arizona State vs. (12) Tulane
Teams Lost, In Order:
Akron, New Mexico State, Florida International, Temple, New Mexico, Bowling Green, Rice, Vanderbilt, Louisiana-Monroe, Texas State, Arkansas State, Charlotte, Southern Mississippi, Ohio, Kansas, Duke, UNLV, Georgia Southern, UTEP, South Alabama, San Jose State, South Florida, Arizona, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech, Ball State, Minnesota, Navy, Nebraska, Buffalo, Troy, Colorado State, North Texas, Eastern Michigan, Northwestern, Northern Illinois, Florida Atlantic, Stanford
REMAINING TEAMS BY CONFERENCE:
American: 8/11 (highest remaining: 2. Cincinnati)
ACC: 13/14 (highest remaining: 1. Clemson)
Big 12: 9/10 (highest remaining: 1. Oklahoma, 1. Oklahoma State)
Big Ten: 11/14 (highest remaining: 1. Ohio State, 1. Michigan)
Conference USA: 5/14 (highest remaining: 6. Western Kentucky)
Independents: 4/7 (highest remaining: 1. Notre Dame)
MAC: 6/12 (highest remaining: 9. Toledo)
Mountain West: 7/12 (highest remaining: 5. Boise State)
Pac-12: 10/12 (highest remaining: 2. Utah)
SEC: 13/14 (highest remaining: 1. Georgia, 1. Alabama)
Sun Belt: 5/10 (highest remaining: 5. Appalachian State)