2019 FSU-Wake Preview and Prediction

by | Oct 17, 2019 | Football, Previews, Sports


Photo Credit: FSU Athletics

2019 FSU-Wake Game Info

  • Winston-Salem, NC
  • 7:30 Eastern, ACC Network
  • Wake -2.5, O/U 68.5
  • Last Game:

When FSU’s on Offense

Wake’s defense is, by SP+ standards (which means opponent and tempo-adjusted), roughly equal with FSU’s. So take the overall performance of our defense and apply it to Wake. Got it? Good. Now. Wake is allowing around 415 yards per game, 160 of those on the ground. This comes at a rate of over 4 YPC. I think we should definitely be able to get Akers going, which is key to our offensive success. Wake is also not a havoc creator, so we should have “more time” to throw the ball and let our offense work. Look for FSU to continue to improve, with the possible return of Williams and Minshew to create more depth along the line.

When FSU’s on Defense

Wake runs fast. Like, really fast. 100+ plays kind of fast. Wake is very RPO-heavy, and tries to kill you with 1000 cuts. FSU’s defense will need to play aggressively in order to stay fresh. The Deacs will swap tailbacks quite often – as 4 backs have more than 35 carries apiece. Kenneth Walker has the most yards, but the fewest carries of the quartet. Cade Carney and Jamie Newman are the workhorses, with more than 70 carries each. Christian Beal-Smith also adds 58 carries at 4.8 yards/carry. In the passing game, the trio of Sage Surratt, former quarterback Kendall Hinton, and Scotty Washington combine for over 75% of the receiving yards.

Again, it is vital that FSU gets Wake off the field fast. Failure to do so will result in a very tired defense – which is what the Demon Deacons want.

Other Factors

If I ever see another Aguayo on this team, I might get sick.

Otherwise, Christian Beal-Smith and Kenneth Walker combine for a dangerous kick return tandem. The kicking game for Wake Forest is nothing special, but effective. Punter (and assumed Yankees fan) Dom Maggio is averaging just over 45 yards/punt.

Score Predictions

John: 42-28 FSU. The Deacons’ Sage Surratt starts out with a huge game but we make adjustments to stop him. Briles spreads the field so we can out athlete the Deac defense.

Cory: 34-31 FSU. The Noles have similar problems as last year in the first half with the speed of the Wake offense, but adjust in the second half. The Seminole offense has a great showing after last week and the team uses this game to show that the culture is changing.

Mike: 34-31 Wake. It’s anyone’s guess who will start under center for both teams on Saturday. An injured Jamie Newman would be a significant blow to Wake Forest. Florida State will look to bounce back from its worst offensive showing of the season. FSU has won seven straight in the series, but Winston-Salem has been a tough play in recent years. FSU’s putrid offensive line will have to find a way to block Carlos Basham, the ACC’s leader in tackles for loss.