FSU-Notre Dame Preview & Prediction

by | Nov 9, 2018 | Previews

FSU-Notre Dame Preview

FSU-Notre Dame Game Info

  • South Bend, IN
  • 7:00 Eastern, NBC
  • ND -17.5, O/U 54.5
  • FSU: 80th F/+ (102nd Offensive S&P, 39th Defensive S&P)
  • Notre Dame: 6th F/+ (27th Offensive S&P, 3rd Devensive S&P)
  • Last Games:

When FSU’s on Offense

Do you remember the Clemson game? The game where we didn’t score until Clemson’s backups came in? Yeah, that defense was ranked #2 in S&P. The Notre Dame defense is #3. Notre Dame runs a 3-4/5-2 system, similar to what we’ve seen on our own defense for the last few years – except for the fact that the Irish are much better at keeping things in front of them and limiting explosive plays than we were. Notre Dame is Top 10 in most explosiveness metrics on defense and is an upperclassman-laden group. This is bad news for our team that sort of…uh…how do I say this…lives and dies by explosive plays. In addition to all this doom and gloom, I expect to have Deondre taking snaps under center, which brings its own set of problems. In addition, we haven’t found any sort of magic that will improve our offensive line, which is still desperately in need of an average player. This isn’t going to be pretty.

  • Sr DL Jerry Tillery: 22.5 tackles, 8.5 TFL. 7 sacks, 10.5 run stuffs, 3 FF (he’s 6-7. Why not start the 6′ even QB?)
  • Jr DL Julian Okwara: 26.5 tackles, 8 TFL. 3.5 sacks, 9.5 run stuffs, 1 INT
  • Jr DL Khalid Kareem: 23 tackles, 8 TFL. 4.5 sacks, 11 run stuffs
  • Sr LB Te’von Coney: 64 tackles, 8.5 TFL. 3 sacks, 10.5 run stuffs, 1 INT
  • Gr LB Drue Tranquill: 46.5 tackles, 6 TFL, 9 run stuffs.
  • Jr S Jalen Elliott: 37 tackles, 3 INT.
  • Jr CB Troy Pride, Jr: 30 tackles, 1.5 TFL. 1.5 run stuffs, 2 INT

When FSU’s on Defense

Thanks for making it through the horrible news. What I have here is simply…well, it’s not quite good, but it’s not a house of horrors. FSU’s defense has to be better than last week’s. Also, starting QB Ian Book is injured, so we will see the senior Brandon Wimbush. This is good news for the Noles. Book is VERY accurate, Wimbush is…not. Wimbush is more of a runner than Book, but can tend to run himself into trouble instead of out, and find himself trying to force a ball into coverage. They will have to adjust their offense to fit – Book was able to read defenses and go deep, while Wimbush will run more Zone Read and hit short routes.

  • Sr QB Brandon Wimbush: 42/76 (55.3%), 1/4 TD/INT, 46 rushes for 187 yards, 1 TD.
  • Sr RB Dexter Williams: 93 rushes for 568 yards (6.1 Y/C), 8 TDs. Averages about a catch per game.
  • Sr WR Miles Boykin: 6’4″…40 Receptions for 624 Yards (10.1 Yards/Target), 7 TDs.
  • Jr WR Chase Claypool: also 6’4″…36 Receptions for 448 Yards (8.5 Yards/Target), 3 TDs.

Also keep an eye out for Jafar Armstrong. They do use him (rushing and receiving), but come on, his name is JAFAR.

Other Factors

Notre Dame Kicker Justin Yoon is good. Really good. 10-14 FGs, long of 52. He can kick it. Punter Tyler Newsome is also a really good punter. This is not good news for the ‘Noles.

Score Predictions

John: FSU 17-14 – Defensive slugfest. FSU sucks. Wimbush sucks. Everybody’s cold. The game just sucks…except for a ‘Noles win!

Cory: ND 31-6 – Defense will be better, but Deondre starts, and we can’t do jack squat in the snow.

Side Bet – O/U 13 Penalties

John: Over

Cory: Over

 

Let us know in the comments – will the ‘Noles get blown out…again?

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