Photo courtesy of Coastal Carolina athletics
Introduction
We’ve created a 130-team bracket using ESPN’s FPI as our ranking system.
“But, anyone can create a bracket, how will the games be simulated?” Great question; NCAA Game Sim was used.
For each game on the bracket, the matchup was simulated once and every day a write-up will be done.
For the matchup, player statistics will be simulated and included in the write-ups.
Finally, thanks to the NCAA Game Sim premium membership, we’ll show the results of doing 100 simulations all at once. This is to see if a given result was more towards the expected side or if a given result was more towards the upset or luckier side.
All of the results have been simulated and tabulated, so at the time of writing the introduction, the results are already in.
This is designed to be fun, so please enjoy.
From Georgia to Massachusetts, here’s the 130-team bracket:
Match 47
(6) Coastal Carolina vs. (11) Indiana
The difference in this one came down to efficiency.
Coastal Carolina quarterback Grayson McCall was 16-for-23 with 211 passing yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions.
Running back Reese White had 64 yards and two touchdowns on 10 carries.
Indiana quarterback Michael Penix Jr., on the other hand, was 17-for-32 with 256 passing yards and two interceptions.
Running back Stephen Carr had 79 yards on 17 carries.
Despite Penix and Carr both outgaining McCall and White, they were less efficient.
This would ultimately cost the Hoosiers in a game that was close for awhile.
Over the final couple possessions, it was clear that Coastal Carolina would emerge. For awhile, it was back and forth. The Chanticleers pull away, 37-22.
In 100 simulations, Indiana did a better job. Coastal Carolina only won 64 of the 100 simulations, by an average margin of 29.6-24.
Winner’s Next Matchup: (3) Auburn
Tomorrow’s Matchup: (6) Louisville vs. (11) Georgia State
Updated Bracket
Teams Lost, In Order:
PLAY-IN
Massachusetts, Connecticut
ROUND 1
Akron, New Mexico State, Florida International, Temple, New Mexico, Bowling Green, Rice, Vanderbilt, Louisiana-Monroe, Texas State, Arkansas State, Charlotte, Southern Mississippi, Ohio, Kansas, Duke, UNLV, Georgia Southern, UTEP, South Alabama, San Jose State, South Florida, Arizona, Old Dominion, Louisiana Tech, Ball State, Minnesota, Navy, Nebraska, Buffalo, Troy, Colorado State, North Texas, Eastern Michigan, Northwestern, Northern Illinois, Florida Atlantic, Stanford, Tulane, Colorado, Wyoming, Middle Tennessee, Rutgers, Miami University, Indiana
REMAINING TEAMS BY CONFERENCE:
American: 7/11 (highest remaining: 2. Cincinnati)
ACC: 13/14 (highest remaining: 1. Clemson)
Big 12: 9/10 (highest remaining: 1. Oklahoma, 1. Oklahoma State)
Big Ten: 9/14 (highest remaining: 1. Ohio State, 1. Michigan)
Conference USA: 4/14 (highest remaining: 6. Western Kentucky)
Independents: 4/7 (highest remaining: 1. Notre Dame)
MAC: 5/12 (highest remaining: 9. Toledo)
Mountain West: 6/12 (highest remaining: 5. Boise State)
Pac-12: 9/12 (highest remaining: 2. Utah)
SEC: 13/14 (highest remaining: 1. Georgia, 1. Alabama)
Sun Belt: 5/10 (highest remaining: 5. Appalachian State)